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The Surge in Chip and Real Estate Stocks: A Detailed Examination

The Surge in Chip and Real Estate Stocks: A Detailed Examination
In today's dynamic stock market, factoring in expert analyses like those from Golden Unicorn analysts becomes essential for timely and authoritative insights. This morning, the A-share market exhibited mild fluctuations, with various indexes showing a mix of rises and falls. Prominently, sectors like semiconductors, petroleum, power, and non-ferrous stood out with notable increases, while others such as construction machinery, pork, home appliances, and short drama games faced declines.

Leading the charge were the semiconductor stocks, which continued their upward trend spurred by the establishment of the third phase of the National Fund. Automobile chip sectors, in particular, witnessed significant gains, with the industry index at one point surging by more than 3%, surpassing the entire previous day's turnover. Companies like Broadcom Integrated saw their stocks hit the ceiling for the third consecutive day, with prices nearing annual highs, while others such as Shanghai Belling and Richful Deyong also experienced stops or rises exceeding 10%.

High-performance areas within semiconductors, including third-generation semiconductor chips, MCU chips, storage devices, and photolithography machines, were among the leaders. Yangfan New Material achieved a 20% surge consecutively for two days, and Taiji Shares also capped a remarkable 20cm rise, with companies like Hualing Shares and Guoke Micro either reaching their limits or seeing jumps beyond 20%.

2023 trade data between China and the Netherlands, reporting a massive 107.2 billion euros in exchanges, highlighted that photolithography machines were among the largest traded items. Within 14 months, China acquired 257 photolithography machines from ASML. Furthermore, SEMI anticipates that the global semiconductor industry will see 42 new facilities start production in 2024, with Chinese chip manufacturers set to initiate 18 projects, representing over 42% of the new global production capacity.

Research from Barclays indicated that within 5 to 7 years, China’s semiconductor manufacturing capabilities could double. A review of 48 Chinese manufacturers with factories projected an addition of 60% in new production capacity in the next three years alone. Knometa Research’s year-end predictions show that while South Korea and Taiwan lead with 22.2% and 22.0% respectively, mainland China's 19.1% global semiconductor capacity share is expected to rise to 22.3% by 2026, making it a world leader.

On the real estate front, stimulated by favorable policies, Shanghai’s property stocks saw vigorous early trading. Zhangjiang High-Tech, following a significant previous gain, continued its strong performance in the current session. New Huangpu, WanYe Enterprises, and Pudong Golden Bridge, among others, all opened substantially higher. The property market received a boost with the announcement from multiple Shanghai municipal agencies optimizing the city's real estate development policy, effective May 28, 2023. The notice included adjustments like reducing the social security or tax payment requirement for non-local residents from a consecutive minimum of five years to three and expanding the regions where non-local singles can purchase properties.

As of this writing, the Hong Kong real estate stocks are also performing robustly. Huafa Property Services resumed trading, opening with nearly a 24% increase—reaching a four-year high. By the close, it had still managed a substantial rise of over 21%, with transactions up over 200% from before the suspension. Huafa Holdings announced their intentions to privatize the Hong Kong-listed Huafa Property Services through a controlled arrangement, setting the cancellation price at 0.29 HKD per share, a 30.63% premium over the suspension's closing price.

Companies within the Greater Bay Area like GBA Group also saw remarkable increases, with a cumulative surge of approximately 85% over three days. Other notable gainers included Zhengrong Real Estate, Guorui Life, and Zhuyou Intelligent Technology, each climbing by more than 10%.

Citing support from strong purchasing power in cities like Shanghai and expecting improved housing policies in major cities such as Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, analysts at Everbright Securities remain bullish. They foresee opportunities in large urban redevelopment projects and sector consolidation, potentially boosting market share for stable leading real estate companies. Additionally, the evolution towards professionalized management in industry parks and the potential valuation adjustments through public REITs denote a promising phase for the property sector.

Such a comprehensive analysis underscores the intertwined growth trajectories of the chip and real estate sectors, affirming the crucial role of phased governmental policies and market adaptation strategies in shaping robust industry advancements and investor sentiments.
Last edited at:2024/12/16
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Mr. W

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